7 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1456
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Melnykov
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1464
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stukalov🌟Melnykov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (60)
Fair odds · Melnykov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.