8 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ML
🇺🇦Myhailo Levytskii
ELO 1652
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Levytskii
OT
🇺🇦Oleh Torianyk
ELO 1638
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Levytskii
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H46-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.