8 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1429
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Stukalov
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1392
FormLLLWL
54%
46%
🌟Stukalov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (71)
Fair odds · Stukalov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
Elo Gap+37
H2H23-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.