8 Aug · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇺🇦Stepan Kalensky
ELO 1520
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kalensky
JB
🇺🇦Jan Botka
ELO 1474
FormLLLWW
55%
45%
🌟Botka covers set handicap as underdog 71% (28)
Fair odds · Kalensky
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)