8 Aug · 07:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1556
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Storozhenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1564
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
🌟Storozhenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (150)
Fair odds · Storozhenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.