8 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PH
🇺🇦Petr Hlina
ELO 1472
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hlina
JP
🇺🇦Jan Pina
ELO 1471
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
🌟Hlina rarely covers set handicap as favourite 14% (14)
Fair odds · Hlina
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.