8 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Serdiuk
ELO 1519
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Ziakun
VZ
🇺🇦Viktor Ziakun
ELO 1549
FormLWLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H32-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.