8 Aug · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ON
🇺🇦Oleh Napirko
ELO 1494
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kovalchuk
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1541
FormLWWLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Napirko🌟Kovalchuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (119)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H15-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-9)