8 Aug · 07:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VP
🇺🇦Volodymyr Plishylo
ELO 1485
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Lazebnyi
RL
🇺🇦Ruslan Lazebnyi
ELO 1519
FormLWLWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Plishylo🌟Plishylo covers set handicap as underdog 69% (117)
Fair odds · Lazebnyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.