8 Aug · 06:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1515
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kravets
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1514
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
🌟Kravets rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (20)
Fair odds · Kravets
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H6-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.