8 Aug · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇺🇦Roman Boklah
ELO 1392
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Priadko
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Priadko
ELO 1420
FormLWLLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Priadko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H53-58
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.