8 Aug · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1392
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1459
FormWLLLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H18-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-7)