8 Aug · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MD
🇺🇦Maksym Denysenko
ELO 1552
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Torianyk
OT
🇺🇦Oleh Torianyk
ELO 1638
FormLWWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Torianyk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)