9 Aug · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Blashkun
ELO 1494
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Blashkun
YH
🇺🇦Yevhenii Holoborodko
ELO 1454
FormLLLWW
54%
46%
🌟Blashkun stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Blashkun
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H16-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.