9 Aug · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YB
🇺🇦Yurii Bondarenko
ELO 1542
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Bondarenko
EH
🇺🇦Evhenii Hrytsenko
ELO 1477
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Hrytsenko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (73)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)