9 Aug · 07:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1546
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fashchevskyi
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
ELO 1528
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Fashchevskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (62)
Fair odds · Fashchevskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H12-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.