9 Aug · 12:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1546
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Fashchevskyi
OG
🇺🇦Oleksii Gazhula
ELO 1504
FormWWLLL
55%
45%
🌟Fashchevskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (62)
Fair odds · Fashchevskyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H7-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)