9 Aug · 07:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TG
🇺🇦Taras Gil
ELO 1597
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Gil
MS
🇺🇦Mykola Slozka
ELO 1525
FormWWWLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Slozka🌟Gil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (30)
Fair odds · Gil
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)