9 Aug · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1546
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fashchevskyi
MS
🇺🇦Mykola Slozka
ELO 1525
FormWWWLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Slozka🌟Fashchevskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (62)
Fair odds · Fashchevskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H8-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.