9 Aug · 06:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OG
🇺🇦Oleksii Gazhula
ELO 1504
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hrybeniuk
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
ELO 1528
FormLLLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Hrybeniuk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~81 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H6-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.