9 Aug · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1546
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gil
TG
🇺🇦Taras Gil
ELO 1597
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fashchevskyi🌟Gil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (30)
Fair odds · Gil
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)