9 Aug · 09:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1441
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Shypilov
VV
🇺🇦Valerii Vlasenko
ELO 1419
FormWLLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vlasenko🌟Shypilov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (56)
Fair odds · Shypilov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H39-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.