9 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1622
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kushnirenko
VK
🇺🇦Vadim Komar
ELO 1599
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🌟Kushnirenko covers set handicap as favourite 70% (23)
Fair odds · Kushnirenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H8-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.