9 Aug · 07:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1441
FormLWWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kovalchuk
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1542
FormWLWLW
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shypilov🌟Kovalchuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (120)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H25-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-23)