9 Aug · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Ponomarenko
ELO 1365
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Mykhalchenko
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
ELO 1424
FormLLLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Mykhalchenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H7-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)