9 Aug · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1383
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Semenets
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tkalich
ELO 1314
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Semenets rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (90)
Fair odds · Semenets
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)