9 Aug · 06:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VT
🇺🇦Volodymyr Tatarnykov
ELO 1578
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tatarnykov
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1566
FormWWLWW
51%
49%
🌟Tatarnykov goes over total as favourite 68% (34)
Fair odds · Tatarnykov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H13-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.