9 Aug · 09:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MU
🇺🇦Miloslav Ullman
ELO 1457
FormWLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Zelinka
MZ
🇺🇦Matus Zelinka
ELO 1599
FormWWLWW
35%
65%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ullman🌟Zelinka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (37)
Fair odds · Zelinka
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)