9 Aug · 09:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Varchenko
ELO 1402
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Varchenko
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Ponomarenko
ELO 1365
FormLLLWL
54%
46%
🌟Varchenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (17)
Fair odds · Varchenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H9-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.