9 Aug · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YB
🇺🇦Yurii Bondarenko
ELO 1542
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Bondarenko
YH
🇺🇦Yevhenii Holoborodko
ELO 1454
FormLLLWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H1-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)