9 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1622
FormWWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kushnirenko
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Bului
ELO 1548
FormWWLLL
58%
42%
⚡ Cover lean · Kushnirenko🌟Bului rarely covers set handicap as underdog 27% (48)
Fair odds · Kushnirenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H18-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-6)