9 Aug · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VT
🇺🇦Volodymyr Tatarnykov
ELO 1578
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lushchyk
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1648
FormLLLLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Lushchyk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H16-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)