9 Aug · 08:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MU
🇺🇦Miloslav Ullman
ELO 1457
FormWLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Rulc
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1563
FormLWWLL
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ullman🌟Rulc rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (95)
Fair odds · Rulc
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H23-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-18)