9 Aug · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IS
🇺🇦Igor Shyndel
ELO 1663
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Shyndel
VK
🇺🇦Vadim Komar
ELO 1599
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Komar🌟Shyndel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (42)
Fair odds · Shyndel
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H36-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-18)