9 Aug · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OT
🇺🇦Oleksandr Tymofeev
ELO 1590
FormWWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Tymofeev
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1503
FormLWWWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Tymofeev
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H6-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)