9 Aug · 08:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1503
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Populovskyi
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1482
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Klymenko covers set handicap as underdog 65% (86)
Fair odds · Populovskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.