9 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KJ
🇺🇦Karel Jirousek
ELO 1464
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hanacek
JH
🇺🇦Josef Hanacek
ELO 1513
FormLLWWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jirousek🌟Hanacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (83)
Fair odds · Hanacek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H15-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-10)