9 Aug · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JH
🇺🇦Josef Hanacek
ELO 1513
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hanacek
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1449
FormWLWLW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Seeman🌟Hanacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (83)
Fair odds · Hanacek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H14-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-12)