9 Aug · 08:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1575
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Osadchyi
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1519
FormWWLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H36-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-23)