9 Aug · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇺🇦Maksym Khomenko
ELO 1506
FormWLLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Alieksieev
OA
🇺🇦Oleksandr Alieksieev
ELO 1671
FormWLWWW
33%
67%
🌟Alieksieev stays under total as favourite 67% (52)
Fair odds · Alieksieev
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+165
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)