10 Aug · 11:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1519
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kheresko
DK
🇺🇦Danylo Kasian
ELO 1479
FormWWWWL
54%
46%
🌟Kasian stays under total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Kheresko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.