10 Aug · 07:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Vasyliev
ELO 1416
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Maksymkiv
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1482
FormWWLLW
43%
57%
🌟Vasyliev stays under total as underdog 63% (35)
Fair odds · Maksymkiv
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)