10 Aug · 08:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1482
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Maksymkiv
DK
🇺🇦Danylo Kasian
ELO 1479
FormWWWWL
50%
50%
🌟Kasian stays under total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Maksymkiv
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.