10 Aug · 07:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vasil Salivonchyk
ELO 1501
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kheresko
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1519
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
🌟Salivonchyk covers set handicap as underdog 73% (55)
Fair odds · Kheresko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H12-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.