10 Aug · 06:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vasil Salivonchyk
ELO 1501
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Salivonchyk
DK
🇺🇦Danylo Kasian
ELO 1479
FormWWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Kasian stays under total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Salivonchyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.