10 Aug · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vasil Salivonchyk
ELO 1501
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Salivonchyk
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1482
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Maksymkiv🌟Salivonchyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (65)
Fair odds · Salivonchyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H16-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.