10 Aug · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇺🇦Milan Vydra
ELO 1400
FormWWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Vydra
AA
🇺🇦Artur Akopyan
ELO 1315
FormWWLLL
59%
41%
🌟Vydra rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (36)
Fair odds · Vydra
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H11-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-10)