10 Aug · 07:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1535
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Makara
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1574
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
🌟Rulc covers set handicap as underdog 66% (77)
Fair odds · Makara
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H38-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.