10 Aug · 09:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1535
FormLWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Heinzl
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1631
FormWWWWL
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rulc🌟Rulc covers set handicap as underdog 66% (77)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H20-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-13)