10 Aug · 08:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1478
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Populovskyi
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1493
FormLLLWW
48%
52%
🌟Populovskyi stays under total as favourite 62% (88)
Fair odds · Populovskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H40-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.